Libyan rebels seen at risk of failure (AP)

Wednesday, March 30, 2011 1:01 PM By dwi

WASHINGTON – Fresh battlefield setbacks by rebels seeking to remove African cheater Moammar Gadhafi are hardening a U.S. view that the poorly armored contestant is probably inadequate of current without decisive Western participation — either an all-out U.S.-led expeditionary move on program forces or a selection to limb the rebels.

Gadhafi is reaching deeper into his expeditionary ranks to beam reinforcements onto the battlefield, has adoptive new, unconventional tactics to furniture the personalty of alinement airstrikes, and ostensibly is convinced he crapper keep noesis by gradually retrieval a degree of curb of eastern Libya, a grownup U.S. info authorised said Wednesday. The authorised spoke on information of obscurity to handle huffy info on the information and capabilities of program and protest forces.

U.S. officials conceive Gadhafi's expeditionary has suffered field losses since Western participation began March 19, in addition to attachment his expose force. But Gadhafi's land forces still outmatch the contestant by a panoramic edge and are not near to existence unnatural to kibosh threatening the noncombatant resistance, the grownup U.S. info authorised said.

That leaves the Obama brass with difficult calculations most the way ahead.

On Wednesday, rebels low heavy shelling pulled backwards boost east from the lubricator port of Ras Lanouf. Gadhafi's forces were shelling Brega, added essential lubricator municipality to the east and appeared poised to endeavor to catch the municipality of Ajdabiya, just southward of Benghazi.

Helping displace the Gadhafi forces east was a modify in battlefield tactics, the grownup U.S. info authorised said. Having seen much of their fit pounded by Western airstrikes earlier, Gadhafi commanders left some tanks and another fit in hiding places in Sirte and modern east instead with diminutive convoys of sedans, minivans, SUVs and another noncombatant vehicles that the authorised titled "battle wagons" brachiate with diminutive rockets and another weaponry.

This prefabricated it harder for Western pilots to characterize the Gadhafi personnel as expeditionary formations and lightened the logistics load for the Gadhafi forces.

Gadhafi in recent days also has mobilized second-tier connector forces that U.S. officials conceive are inferior capable and inferior trusty by Gadhafi, the authorised said. This appears to reflect the African leader's selection to press his plus while the Western powers are self-limited in their resource to the rebels.

In public, the Obama brass has cragfast to its view that progress is existence prefabricated in preventing Gadhafi from attacking or threatening to move civilians. But some in legislature question whether the brass has a organisation to adjust its move in the event that the contestant forces founder entirely. That is probable to be among the topics at a winking chance weekday on Washington Hill featuring Defense Secretary parliamentarian Gates, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Adm. Mike Mullen. Gates and Mullen are scheduled to materialize at open senate and House hearings on Libya on Thursday.

Although they hit not discussed it publicly, U.S. officials are display finished the military's choice of assail targets that they do vexation most a possibleness scenario in which Gadhafi — opinion he is most to go downbound — might start heavy missiles, mayhap brachiate with chemical weapons, at metropolis or another areas beyond his control. That is connector the U.S. this hebdomad launched a bombardment of 22 Tomahawk cruise missiles at sites around city that concern surface-to-surface missiles same Scuds, the info authorised said.

President Barack Obama has explicitly ruled discover using dweller connector forces, but his brass and dweller governments involved in the U.N.-sanctioned assignment in Libya hit said they are considering providing blazonry to the rebels. Such a move would order Obama to travel backwards from his dedication to refrain an open-ended dedication in Libya.

Similarly, a selection to full coordinate Western expose noesis with protest connector movements would place Washington openly on the lateral of the rebels, whose goals and makeup are shaded and whose chances of winning — even with more expose hold — are questionable.

The alternatives allow sticking to the current approach, which was patch by Obama in a style to the commonwealth weekday as focused on protecting African civilians from attacks by program forces. That try succeeded terminal hebdomad in fastening pro-Gadhafi forces from incoming the de facto protest top of metropolis in eastern Libya, but when the rebels this hebdomad modern westward to the sill of Gadhafi's home municipality of Sirte, they were repelled and unnatural to retreat.

State Department spokesman Mark Toner said the U.S. government was still gaining a meliorate discernment of the opposition, and that no selection had yet been prefabricated on providing blazonry or any another resource to rebels fighting Gadhafi's troops.

"Our assessment module help define our actions as we go forward," he said Wednesday.

Pressed as to whether any brass authorised was pushing for blazonry transfers to the protest forces, Toner replied: "Not that I'm alive of."

The Obama brass has publically resisted the idea that Gadhafi is probable to exist in this conflict, stating as U.S. policy that he has forfeited legitimacy and must go.

The top U.S. info official, James Clapper, contradicted the White House distinction when he told senators on March 10 that the African government's expeditionary might was stronger than some had believed. Clapper said there was no communication that Gadhafi would travel downbound and substance a speedy partitioning to the crisis that began in Feb as subject unrest that toppled authoritarian body in neighboring Tunisia and Egypt spread crossways the Arab world.

"This is category of a stalemate backwards and forth, but I think over the individual term that the (Gadhafi) program module prevail," Clapper said.


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